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ARCHIVED - More than 18,000 Covid deaths in Spain have never been officially recorded by Ministry of Health
In Murcia, which had the lowest rate in mainland Spain during the first wave, this amounts to 166 additional deaths
As the end of a year which will always be associated with the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic approaches there are still a significant number of people expressing scepticism over the seriousness of the virus, but the publication of yet more official data in Spain on Thursday suggests that if anything the effect of the first wave of infection this spring may have been significantly understated.
The government’s central statistics unit now reports that the number of deaths related to Covid-19 in this country had reached 45,684 by the end of May, a total which is more than 18,000 higher than the one officially provided by the Ministry of Health in the first five months of the year. This “surplus” of 40 per cent is doubtless largely explained by the size of the category in which deaths where Covid was suspected but not confirmed, a group containing 13,032 cases.
It is also reported that the number of deaths in Spain rose by 23.2 per cent between January and May in comparison with last year, despite the figure actually falling by 4.3 per cent in the first two months of 2020. Coronavirus is almost entirely responsible for the 44.8 per cent rise in the three months which followed, and in the month of April alone there were 60,304 deaths as opposed to 34,201 in the same month in 2019.
Among those 60,000 fatalities as many as 26,305 were related to Covid-19, including 18,178 confirmed cases and 8,127 suspected, and in the whole of the 5-month period the result was an increase of 1,688 per cent in the number of deaths caused by infectious diseases.
This increase reached an astonishing 3,084% during the months of March, April and May, before the first wave of infection was finally slowed. At one point, between 30th March and 5th April, the weekly death toll from all causes in this country climbed to over 20,000, of which over half are attributed to either confirmed or suspected cases of Covid, before dropping back down to its normal level of between 7,000 and 8,000 by the end of May: by that point the number of Covid cases included had fallen to 382.
In terms of regional variation during the first wave of the pandemic, the data also show that the parts of Spain worst affected were the Autonomous Communities of Castilla-La Mancha, Madrid and Castilla y León. In Castilla-La Mancha over 160 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants involved confirmed cases of Covid between March and May, as well as a further 78 deaths related to suspected Covid, while at the other end of the scale the figures were as low as 7.5 and 3.5 in the Canary Islands and 9.3 and 1.7 in Murcia.
These data have been presented relating to the first five months of the year, but other more provisional figures showing the weekly fatalities from all causes in Spain are now reflecting the impact of the second wave of the pandemic. By the end of the 47th week of the year the estimated number of deaths in 2020 had reached over 443,000, almost 19 per cent (or 70,000) more than at the same point in 2019, and although these figures are still subject to revision before being confirmed the weekly totals indicate a definite second spike between September and November.
The Ministry of Health figures, which are lower than the INE figures, are built around cases which have been diagnosed by a PCR test; as we know full well, during the first wave, many thousands died in care homes and were never officially diagnosed, principally because there were no stocks of tester kits in the early days, although there is no doubt that covid was the reason for the deaths. These deaths have never been officially included anywhere in the Ministry statistics.
Again, these weekly data illustrate the effects on different regions, with year-on-year increases of between 4.39 per cent in Galicia and 43.5 per cent in Madrid.
The graphic clearly shows how deaths generally remain stable and follow an established pattern every year in Spain, peaking during the flu season and again in the summer if there is a heatwave. The 2020 line is clearly very distinctive from the previous years and follows the course of the pandemic.
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